{"id":120493,"date":"2025-07-31T10:24:30","date_gmt":"2025-07-31T13:24:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/primereando.com.ar\/?p=120493"},"modified":"2025-07-31T10:24:31","modified_gmt":"2025-07-31T13:24:31","slug":"descontrolado-milei-y-caputo-intervienen-el-dolar-futuro-para-contener-corrida-cambiaria","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/primereando.com.ar\/index.php\/2025\/07\/31\/descontrolado-milei-y-caputo-intervienen-el-dolar-futuro-para-contener-corrida-cambiaria\/120493\/","title":{"rendered":"Descontrolado: Milei y Caputo intervienen el d\u00f3lar futuro para contener corrida cambiaria"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>El mercado de futuros del d\u00f3lar est\u00e1 desbordado y expone los l\u00edmites de la estrategia oficial<\/strong>. Los contratos con vencimiento en diciembre ya tocaron el techo de la banda, a pesar de que el Banco Central viene ofreciendo posiciones a precios artificialmente bajos \u2014incluso por debajo del d\u00f3lar contado\u2014 en un intento desesperado por calmar las expectativas. Pero el term\u00f3metro del mercado marca otra cosa: desconfianza.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Entre abril y mayo, el BCRA pas\u00f3 de no tener pr\u00e1cticamente exposici\u00f3n en futuros a cerrar mayo con una posici\u00f3n vendedora de casi USD 1.950 millones.<\/strong> Y para fines de julio, analistas de la City estiman que ese n\u00famero ya se duplic\u00f3, superando los USD 4.000 millones. Una aceleraci\u00f3n que revela el nivel de tensi\u00f3n cambiaria y la falta de herramientas genuinas para controlarla.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El problema es que esta maniobra no sale gratis. Con tasas impl\u00edcitas negativas, cada salto del tipo de cambio obliga al Banco Central a pagar la diferencia en pesos. En otras palabras, se compromete a emitir si el d\u00f3lar sube. El ejemplo es sencillo pero alarmante: si el Central vende a $1.290 y el oficial cierra a $1.300, debe poner $10 por contrato. Y con un vencimiento fuerte como el de julio en el horizonte inmediato, el riesgo de emisi\u00f3n se vuelve inminente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El Gobierno apuesta a contener la presi\u00f3n cambiaria con parches financieros que solo ganan tiempo, pero no despejan las dudas de fondo. La gran pregunta \u2014sin respuesta hasta ahora\u2014 es de d\u00f3nde saldr\u00e1n los pesos para enfrentar esos pagos, si no es con m\u00e1s emisi\u00f3n y, por lo tanto, m\u00e1s inflaci\u00f3n. La fragilidad del esquema econ\u00f3mico vuelve a quedar expuesta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El mercado de futuros del d\u00f3lar est\u00e1 desbordado y expone los l\u00edmites de la estrategia oficial. Los contratos con vencimiento en diciembre ya tocaron el techo de la banda, a pesar de que el Banco Central viene ofreciendo posiciones a precios artificialmente bajos \u2014incluso por debajo del d\u00f3lar contado\u2014 en un intento desesperado por calmar [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":118232,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-120493","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualidad"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Descontrolado: Milei y Caputo intervienen el d\u00f3lar futuro para contener corrida cambiaria - Primereando<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/primereando.com.ar\/index.php\/2025\/07\/31\/descontrolado-milei-y-caputo-intervienen-el-dolar-futuro-para-contener-corrida-cambiaria\/120493\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Descontrolado: Milei y Caputo intervienen el d\u00f3lar futuro para contener corrida cambiaria - Primereando\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El mercado de futuros del d\u00f3lar est\u00e1 desbordado y expone los l\u00edmites de la estrategia oficial. Los contratos con vencimiento en diciembre ya tocaron el techo de la banda, a pesar de que el Banco Central viene ofreciendo posiciones a precios artificialmente bajos \u2014incluso por debajo del d\u00f3lar contado\u2014 en un intento desesperado por calmar [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/primereando.com.ar\/index.php\/2025\/07\/31\/descontrolado-milei-y-caputo-intervienen-el-dolar-futuro-para-contener-corrida-cambiaria\/120493\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Primereando\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-07-31T13:24:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-07-31T13:24:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/primereando.com.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Milei-y-Caputo-FMI-2025.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"940\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"529\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Quique\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Quique\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tiempo de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/primereando.com.ar\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/07\\\/31\\\/descontrolado-milei-y-caputo-intervienen-el-dolar-futuro-para-contener-corrida-cambiaria\\\/120493\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/primereando.com.ar\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/07\\\/31\\\/descontrolado-milei-y-caputo-intervienen-el-dolar-futuro-para-contener-corrida-cambiaria\\\/120493\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Quique\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/primereando.com.ar\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/4e63931e01f10f9b83b868233258d3d3\"},\"headline\":\"Descontrolado: Milei y Caputo intervienen el d\u00f3lar futuro para contener corrida cambiaria\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-07-31T13:24:30+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-07-31T13:24:31+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/primereando.com.ar\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/07\\\/31\\\/descontrolado-milei-y-caputo-intervienen-el-dolar-futuro-para-contener-corrida-cambiaria\\\/120493\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":302,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/primereando.com.ar\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/primereando.com.ar\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/07\\\/31\\\/descontrolado-milei-y-caputo-intervienen-el-dolar-futuro-para-contener-corrida-cambiaria\\\/120493\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/primereando.com.ar\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/04\\\/Milei-y-Caputo-FMI-2025.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Actualidad\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es-AR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/primereando.com.ar\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/07\\\/31\\\/descontrolado-milei-y-caputo-intervienen-el-dolar-futuro-para-contener-corrida-cambiaria\\\/120493\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/primereando.com.ar\\\/index.php\\\/2025\\\/07\\\/31\\\/descontrolado-milei-y-caputo-intervienen-el-dolar-futuro-para-contener-corrida-cambiaria\\\/120493\\\/\",\"name\":\"Descontrolado: Milei y Caputo intervienen el d\u00f3lar futuro para contener corrida cambiaria - 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